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Solar activity suddenly weakened during this bulletin's reporting period, January 9-15, and the lower activity and expectations continue. Average daily sunspot numbers declined from 188.1 to 111.4, and average daily solar flux went from 201.6 to 155.4. Those drops compare the January 9-15 period to the January 2-8 week. Daily sunspot numbers dipped below 100, to 95, 87 and 77 on January 14-16.

The latest prediction doesn't look promising, at least if we are hoping to sustain the recent increased activity of January 4-7. It shows solar flux at 120 on January 16, 118 on January 17, 115 on January 19-20, 112 on January 21-23, then 115, 130, 135 and 145 on January 24-27, and 155 on January 28-29. It then climbs to a peak of 180 between February 2-5, and declines to a minimum of 125 February 17-20. By minimum, this does not mean that solar flux is predicted to be at least 125 on those dates, but rather another low point before rising again to around 180 about six weeks from now.

Predicted planetary A index is 12 and 10 on January 17-18, 5 on January 19-23, 8 on January 24, 5 on January 25-27, then 10, 18 and 8 on January 28-30, 5 on January 31 through February 6, then 8, 8 and 6 on February 7-9, then back to 5 for the following nine days.

BELGIUM, ON. Members of the UBA section of Midden West-Vlaanderen will be QRV as ON1418MWV from April 27 to May 27 to commemorate the location of a German field hospital during World War I. QSL via ON6UB.

FERNANDO DE NORONHA, PY0F. Leo, PP1CZ is QRV as PY0F/PP1CZ until April 29. Activity is on 80 to 10 meters using CW, SSB and RTTY. QSL to home call.

PALAU, T8. Nob, JR3STX will be QRV as T88ST from the Palau Rental Shack on Malakal Island, IOTA OC-009, from April 29 to May 7. Activity will be on 80 to 6 meters using CW, SSB and RTTY. QSL to home call.

CORSICA, TK. A group of operators will be QRV as TK1R from April 30 to May 4. Activity will be mainly on 30, 17 and 12 meters with an emphasis on the digital modes. This includes being an entry in the upcoming ARI International DX contest. QSL via IK2DUW.

AUSTRALIA, VK. Members of the Hellenic Amateur Radio Association of Australia will activate Bare Island, IOTA OC-171, for the first time. They will be active as AX2CL on April 25 and VK2CL on April 26. Activity will be on the HF bands with 3 or 4 stations active simultaneously. QSL via operators' instructions.

INDONESIA, YB. A group of operators are QRV as YB8RW/p from Tahulanddang Island, IOTA OC-210, until April 28. QSL via YB9BU.

SPECIAL EVENT STATIONS. W1AW Centennial Stations W1AW/1 in New Hampshire and W1AW/2 in New Jersey are QRV until 2359z on April 29. In addition, W1AW Centennial Stations W1AW/1 in Connecticut and W1AW/7 in Nevada will be QRV starting at 0000z on April 30. They will be active until 2359z on May 6.


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7422923 Last modified: 2016-07-04 06:04:17, 7302 bytes

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